“As an MIT PhD in biological engineering who studies & does research nearly every day on the Immune System, the #coranvirus fear mongering by the Deep State will go down in history as one of the biggest frauds to manipulate economies, suppress dissent, & push MANDATED Medicine!”
Dr. V. A. Shiva Ayyadurai
“If we had not known about a new virus out there, and had not checked individuals with PCR tests, the number of total deaths due to “influenza-like illness” would not seem unusual this year. At most, we might have casually noted that flu this season seems to be a bit worse than average. The media coverage would have been less than for an NBA game between the two most indifferent teams.”
Dr. John P.A. Ioannidis
C. F. Rehnborg Professor in disease prevention in the school of medicine, professor of medicine, of health research and policy (Epidemiology) and by courtesy, of statistics and of biomedical data science and of Statistics; co-Director, Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford.
Ioannidis’s 2005 paper “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False” has been the most downloaded technical paper from the journal PLoS Medicine and is considered foundational to the field of metascience. Ioannidis wrote that “a research finding is less likely to be true when the studies conducted in a field are smaller; when effect sizes are smaller; when there is a greater number and lesser preselection of tested relationships; where there is greater flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes; when there is greater financial and other interest and prejudice; and when more teams are involved in a scientific field in chase of statistical significance.”
What Dr. Ioannidis is telling us in the quote in bold relief is a proverb that Mark Twain popularized (though he didn’t originate it) is that when it comes to lying there are three types, (a) liars, (b) damned liars, and (c) statisticians. I am convinced that we have fallen into the hands of all three in this Wuhan virus scare with the statisticians doing the most harm.
In the midst of this Wuhan scare people have forgotten that facts are not neutral. They have forgotten that facts always come nestled in a set of organic relationships with other unspoken yet controlling facts. We are being given all kinds of facts complete with dramatic numbers of death totals from the Wuhan virus but what do we know of those statistician who are shoveling those facts? Dr’s Fauci, and Birx, who are the putative experts guiding the White House response to the Wuhan virus both are people from the constellation of the left. Does anybody pause to ask how their pre-theoretical ideological commitments are driving their “scientific” conclusions? Has Trump consulted chaps like Dr. Ioannidis and Dr. Ayyaduri to offset the fear-porn mongering of Dr’s Fauci and Brix?
And in this context what are we to think of the well respected British epidemiologist Dr. Neil Ferguson who at the outset insisted that Britain would suffer 500,000 deaths from the Wuhan virus only recently to have re-adjusted that figure downwards to 20,000 deaths? This Brit epidemiologist was to the Brits what Fauci has been to the Americans and now all of a sudden he says, “whoops,” regarding his model?
The fact is that all of these people, with their “facts” regarding the impact of the Wuhan virus are only as good as the Worldview and theology that is driving their reason for selecting the facts that they select. Their statistical models are only as good as the assumptions that inform their models and those assumptions are only as good as the Worldview and Theology that are basis for those assumptions.
So, before we embrace any expert pertaining to the Wuhan virus we should know something about their ideological pre-commitments. We should investigate what reasons they may have for gerrymandering their statistical models.
Really, why should we believe anything coming from the FEDS or any leftist news source? Why should we give credence to any information coming out of China or Iran?
Honestly…. what we know is just this much,
1.) There is a virus
2.) It is having an impact
3.) That impact is NOT uniform in the differing nations it lands in
4.) At least a part of all this is the Globalist media has an agenda to put an end to the rise of the nationalist-populist impulse which is challenging their New World Order plans for hegemony.
We also know that the projected numbers are all over the map and hardly constitute what we call “science.” This may be the black plague. It may be merely the swine flu. I don’t know. You don’t know. Clearly, the experts don’t know. They are all projecting and speculating. It is at least possible that we have been “H. G. Wells’ed.” You remember H. G. Wells and his “War of the Worlds,” which created a panic because given the way it was reported over the airwaves people really believed that they were being invaded by aliens. This Wuhan Virus may be our H. G. Wells moment.
So, before we continue to hyperventilate that this Wuhan virus may be the end of the world as we know it, we need to step back, take a deep breath, and ask ourselves “cui-bono,” (who benefits) from all this panic and fear-mongering.
Of course … the panic has already begun and so who knows where we end up but wherever we end up it is quite possible we will end up there more because of mass hysteria than because of the Wuhan virus. There are other games afoot here than the world being sick. Those possibilities include,
1.) Medical Martial Law implemented to the end of overthrowing our Constitutional liberties.
2.) Shifting from the dollar being the World’s reserve currency to the Yuan becoming the World’s reserve currency.
3.) Precursor event to the rise of a new globalism. (See former Secretary of State Madeline Albright’s article in TIME magazine as well as recent comments by former British Prime Minister, Gordon Brown.)
Whatever is the consequence of this Wuhan virus scare you can be sure that the Wuhan virus was merely a pretext to set off a far grander vision of some kind of New World.