In the face of most of the polls, I am still sticking to my instinct that America will not elect a Black Nationalist Marxist Infanticidist as President. Now, clearly it looks like that is an idiotic assertion, but I have my reasons.
1.) One thing that I am beginning to read is the expectation of a hugely record turnout. If this is true I am of the conviction that this is not good news for Obama. A moderately high turn out would probably be advantage Obama, but a massively high turn out may mean the tide of the silent majority that elected Nixon and Reagan may be rolling in again.
If this tide rolls in then you can throw out the polling data since the polling samples could not possibly have taken into account the tide of the silent majority.
2.) The “undecided” percentage remains unusually high. My instincts tell me these undecideds are going to break hard for McCain.
3.) The news about Obama’s coal policies, though late breaking, has still come early enough and is still powerful enough to affect people’s thinking and vote.
4.) The poll that was the closest on the 2004 election has Obama and McCain in a statistical dead heat.
Now, Obama, through his creative cheating efforts could still become President even if America doesn’t elect him, but I am sticking by my guns that McCain is elected.
You find this fun… don’t know how you do it.
No, I don’t find it particularly fun. Sociologically speaking, I find it fascinating.
Tried to call you last week but got your recording.
Nothing important. Just looking for another sane voice.
I’m not as optimistic as you. (And what an optimism to prefer Sen. McCain to Sen. Obama!) I think the polls have got this one right. I think it’ll be close, but not as close as 2004.
I guess we’ll find out soon enough.